By: Matt Present and Jon Lewis
Ht: 6’3″ Wt: 211 Year: Jr.
Hometown (HS): Carneys Point, NJ (Gloucester Catholic HS)
GS: 15 IP: 99.0 ERA: 3.18 K/9: 8.8 BB/9: 2.4 H/9: 6.3
The day the entire University of Maryland baseball faithful has been dreading: the all-time wins leader in University of Maryland baseball history, and the revered ‘Unicorn’ is now draft-eligible. He has won numerous awards, his name is cemented in the Maryland record books, and anyone who knows of Mike Shawaryn knows what this kid has meant to the Maryland baseball program. Shawaryn has a prototypical starting pitcher’s build: tall, strong lower half, and durable with room to add a bit more to his already strong frame. His arm-angle is a bit unorthodox, he features a sub-¾ arm angle, which has dropped even a bit below that in recent years. His combination of a plus fastball with arm-side run and his sweeping slider make for a very elite two-pitch mix. Throwing in a solid-average change-up makes for a potential middle of the rotation type in the big leagues.
Arsenal: fastball (89-93 MPH), slider, changeup
Pros: His fastball and slider are a great 1-2 punch, low opponents batting average, has pitched and thrived in many big games
Cons: Has logged a lot of innings, unconventional arm slot
Present: Shawaryn is considered by many to be the best pitcher in school history. He finished his Terps career with 307 strikeouts setting school bests in a season (2015) and a career. When Shawaryn can command his fastball in and get hitters to chase the slider down and away he is nearly unhittable. While duplicating a 1.71 ERA from 2015 was nearly impossible, when Shawaryn ran into trouble this season it was when he was unable to establish the inside fastball, and instead left it up and over the plate. While those starts in the middle of the season may have resulted in his draft stock slipping, his 16 strikeout performance in the Big Ten Tournament should put any concern about Shawaryn’s dominance to rest. Shawaryn projects to being an ace of a rotation as a guy who can get a lot of punchouts as well as work deep into ballgames.
Lewis: It is where that fastball velocity maintains itself into starts that will be key for Shawaryn moving forward. He has logged an immense amount of innings over the past three years, including a tour with the United States National team last summer featuring some of the most elite draft-eligible talent, including: consensus first-rounders AJ Puk and Buddy Reed. Over the summer, Shawaryn’s FB topped at 95mph, however in his 2016 campaign, Shawaryn was more in the 91-93 range.
While his fastball in 2016 was a bit short, on the surface his results appear congruently less dominant than they had been in his prior two years. If you really dig into the stats, however, some would argue his stats were just as good as they have been. While his W-L record and ERA were not up to his usual level of excellence, his peripheral stats scream elite. He had a 0.96 WHIP over 99 innings, averaging 8.8 K/9, a 3.73 K/BB ratio, and a paltry .195 opponents batting average. Going into 2016, Shawaryn was thought of a mid-late first rounder with steam to possibly tick into a top 10 slot, but after a rocky start to the year, he has dropped out of many pundits’ top 100 overall draft prospects, with college RHPs Justin Dunn (Boston College) and Cody Sedlock (Illinois) rising into the range where Shawaryn had been at the onset of the year. A team that values sabermetrics and isn’t overly concerned about Shawaryn’s 3-year workload or his unorthodox arm-angle could draft Shawaryn pretty early on in day two.
20/80 Scale (50 is Big League average)
Fastball: 60 Slider: 55-60 Changeup: 50 Command: 55 Overall: 55
Range: Rounds 2-4
* Matt Present did play-by-play for the Maryland Terrapins in 2015 and 2016.
* Jon Lewis is a former college baseball player and provided color analysis on MBN broadcasts in 2015. He is pursuing a career in professional scouting.
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