Maryland’s Big Ten tournament scenario cheat sheet

With three games left to play in the regular season, Maryland sits in 10th place in the Big Ten Conference standings, just a half-game back of eighth-place Rutgers for the final conference tournament spot.

The Terps are now 9-12 in conference play, after losing two of three to Minnesota over the weekend. Maryland no longer controls its own destiny to clinch a Big Ten tournament appearance for the first time since 2017, but still has plenty of ways to get into the field of eight in Omaha next week.

Here’s a look at the current Big Ten Standings:

  1. Michigan 15-5*
  2. Indiana 14-7*
  3. Illinois 13-8*
  4. Nebraska 13-8*
  5. Minnesota 13-8*
  6. Iowa 12-9
  7. Northwestern 10-11
  8. Rutgers 9-11
  9. Ohio State 9-12
  10. Maryland 9-12
  11. Purdue 7-13
  12. Michigan State 7-13
  13. Penn State 4-18

* Clinched spot in Big Ten tournamentĀ 

Rob Vaughn’s team finishes the season with a three-game series at Bob “Turtle” Smith Stadium against the Iowa Hawkeyes (30-19, 12-19 Big Ten), a team that is not only playing for a Big Ten tournament spot, but an NCAA tournament bid as well.

With seven teams, including Maryland, chasing down the remaining three spots in Omaha, here’s a look at every scenario that gets the Terps back to the postseason.

Other series around the Big Ten:

Minnesota @ Northwestern, Illinois @ Michigan State, Ohio State @ Purdue, Rutgers @ Indiana, Michigan @ Nebraska

If the Terps go…

3-0 against the Hawkeyes

A sweep against Iowa would almost certainly put the Terps into the Big Ten tournament. At 12-12 in conference play, Maryland would only need these results to clinch a spot.

  1. Scenario 1: Maryland finishes in 6th place
    • Minnesota wins at least one game against Northwestern
    • Indiana wins at least one game against Rutgers
    • Purdue wins at least one game against Ohio State
  2. Scenario 2: Maryland finishes in 7th place
    • Northwestern sweeps Minnesota
    • Indiana wins at least one game against Rutgers
    • Purdue wins at least one game against Ohio State
  3. Scenario 3: Maryland finishes in 8th place
    • Northwestern sweeps Minnesota
    • Rutgers sweeps Indiana
    • Purdue wins at least one game against Ohio State

2-1 against the Hawkeyes

While the Terps would need some more help in this case, a series win would put Maryland in pretty good position. At 11-13 in conference play, the Terps would need these results to clinch a spot.

  1. Scenario 1: Maryland finishes in 7th place
    • Minnesota wins at least two games against Northwestern
    • Indiana wins at least two games against Rutgers
    • Purdue wins at least two games against Ohio State
  2. Scenario 2: Maryland finishes in 7th place
    • Minnesota wins two games against Northwestern
    • Indiana wins at least two games against Rutgers
    • Ohio State wins two games against Purdue
  3. Scenario 3: Maryland finishes in 8th place
    • Northwestern wins at least two games against Minnesota
    • Indiana wins at least two games against Rutgers
    • Purdue wins at least two games against Ohio State
  4. Scenario 4: Maryland finishes in 8th place
    • Minnesota wins at least two games against Northwestern
    • Rutgers wins at least two games against Indiana
    • Purdue wins at least two games against Ohio State
  5. Scenario 5: Maryland finishes in 8th place
    • Minnesota wins two games against Northwestern
    • Rutgers wins at least two games against Indiana
    • Ohio State wins two games against Purdue

1-2 against the Hawkeyes

Just one win this weekend would put Maryland in a tough position. At 10-14 in conference play, the Terps would need a lot of things to go their way.

  1. Scenario 1: Maryland finishes in 7th place
    • Minnesota sweeps Northwestern
    • Indiana sweeps Rutgers
    • Ohio State wins one of three against Purdue
    • Illinois wins at least one game against Michigan State
  2. Scenario 2: Maryland finishes in 8th place
    • Minnesota sweeps Northwestern
    • Indiana sweeps Rutgers
    • Ohio State wins one of three against Purdue
    • Michigan State sweeps Illinois
  3. Scenario 3: Maryland finishes in 8th place
    • Minnesota sweeps Northwestern
    • Indiana sweeps Rutgers
    • Ohio State wins zero, two, or three games against Purdue
    • Illinois wins at least one game against Michigan State

0-3 against the Hawkeyes

If the Terps are swept this weekend by Iowa, they will fall to 9-15 in conference and will be eliminated from contention. Maryland can not make the Big Ten tournament if the team loses its final three games.